Toronto: Chow 52%, Bradford 44%; Turnout Could Shape Result
Chow leads Bradford 52% to 44% among decided and leaning voters. Geographic differences in turnout could affect the final result.
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Chow leads Bradford 52% to 44% among decided and leaning voters. Geographic differences in turnout could affect the final result.
Bradford is at 49% and Chow 47% among decided and leaning voters. The race has narrowed as Bradford gains in North York and among both homeowners and renters.
Downtown accounts for 40.1% of Toronto's advance votes but 35.2% of electors. The ward-level figures show where early participation is strongest, and what remains unknown before October 26.
Chow leads Bradford by five points among decided and leaning voters. Renters favour Chow 57% to 40%, while homeowners favour Bradford 50% to 45%.
Toronto has added 194,442 electors since the 2023 mayoral by-election. Where the list has grown, what has barely changed, and why it matters for campaigns.
Chow leads Bradford by eight points citywide, but North York is nearly tied. Bradford leads among men while Chow holds a much larger advantage among women.
Chow leads Bradford by nine points among decided and leaning voters, while her approval slips to 49% and half say Toronto is moving in the right direction.
Chow leads Bradford 47% to 40% among decided and leaning voters, while cost of living tops Torontonians' unprompted mayoral priorities.
Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford by 11 points among decided and leaning voters, while most Torontonians want the next budget to hold property tax increases below inflation or lower.
Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford by 11 points among decided and leaning voters, while Torontonians prefer a balanced approach to the Ford government.
Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford by 7 points among decided voters, while Chris Alexander starts at 10% and most Torontonians remain unfamiliar with him.
Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford by 8 points among decided voters, while Torontonians are evenly split on whether the city is moving in the right or wrong direction.
Mayor Olivia Chow leads Brad Bradford by 9 points among decided voters, while 61% say hosting World Cup matches has been good for Toronto.
Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford are in very different positions. Chow is already well known to Torontonians. Voters have largely made up their minds about her. They may approve or disapprove, but very few are still unsure. Bradford’s numbers tell a different story. He has support, and the race
May 14, 2026 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over Councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, while Torontonians express overwhelming frustration with traffic congestion and road construction coordination. If a mayoral election were held today among decided voters, Olivia Chow