Toronto's Early Voters Are Not Spread Evenly
Downtown accounts for 40.1% of Toronto's advance votes but 35.2% of electors. The ward-level figures show where early participation is strongest, and what remains unknown before October 26.
Downtown accounts for 40.1% of Toronto's advance votes but 35.2% of electors. The ward-level figures show where early participation is strongest, and what remains unknown before October 26.
Chow leads Bradford by five points among decided and leaning voters. Renters favour Chow 57% to 40%, while homeowners favour Bradford 50% to 45%.
Bradford's coverage share reaches roughly 45% after Alexander's withdrawal, while Parrish and Crombie are nearly tied in Mississauga.
Liberals lead by 16 points. Poilievre is at 32% favourable and 55% unfavourable, while Lewis improves to 35% favourable without lifting the NDP above 15%.
In a campaign debating experience versus change, Hazel McCallion's legacy matters far more to older residents. Most say a candidate claiming to have learned from her makes no difference.
Conservatives lead 43% to 37% among decided and leaning voters. Eby approval falls to 34%, while Doerkson gains familiarity but not net favourability.
Toronto has added 194,442 electors since the 2023 mayoral by-election. Where the list has grown, what has barely changed, and why it matters for campaigns.
Sixty-five per cent support a subway extension, but residents split 45% to 44% on subway versus all-day, two-way Milton GO service. Confidence combines very and somewhat confident.
Following the October 1 debate, 74% reject personal insults and just 14% describe the campaign as mostly respectful. The rejection crosses candidate lines.
Chow leads Bradford by eight points citywide, but North York is nearly tied. Bradford leads among men while Chow holds a much larger advantage among women.
Liberals lead 46% to 28% as Conservative support reaches its lowest level in Liaison tracking since March 2025. Carney approval returns to 66%.
Tedjo rises 14 points from August to 26%, close to Crombie at 30% and Parrish at 29%. Affordability grows as a concern while Parrish approval holds at 38%.
PQ leads a fragmented provincial race at 28%. Cost of living and health care top the issue list; 56% say Quebec is moving in the wrong direction.
Chow draws almost half of Toronto coverage, Alexander is gaining attention, and Crombie outdraws the sitting mayor. What earned media tells us about Ontario's mayoral races.
Leduc leads Sandhu 30% to 24% among decided and leaning voters. Giordano leads Sinclair 49% to 37% for deputy mayor, with large undecided shares in both races.