Federal Tracker: Liberal Lead Narrows to 13 Points
Liberals lead 44% to 31%, with the NDP at 14%. Conservatives gain for a third straight update, Carney approval is 65%, and Alberta is effectively tied at 43% Conservative to 42% Liberal.
Liberals lead 44% to 31%, with the NDP at 14%. Conservatives gain for a third straight update, Carney approval is 65%, and Alberta is effectively tied at 43% Conservative to 42% Liberal.
Chow leads Bradford 52% to 44% among decided and leaning voters. Geographic differences in turnout could affect the final result.
October 22, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - A new Liaison Strategies Mississauga Tracker survey finds Bonnie Crombie leading with 35% among decided and leaning voters, followed by Alvin Tedjo at 31% and Mayor Carolyn Parrish at 28%. Dipika Damerla receives 4%, while 2% choose someone else. Liaison surveyed a random sample of
Canadians split on a Hellebuyck return, trade or paid holdout. Hockey followers favour a trade or return over keeping him out on full pay; Winnipeg residents are divided.
Bradford is at 49% and Chow 47% among decided and leaning voters. The race has narrowed as Bradford gains in North York and among both homeowners and renters.
Liberals hold at 45%, Conservatives edge up to 30%, and the NDP slips to 14%. Poilievre ratings improve modestly while Carney approval remains at 64%.
Downtown accounts for 40.1% of Toronto's advance votes but 35.2% of electors. The ward-level figures show where early participation is strongest, and what remains unknown before October 26.
Chow leads Bradford by five points among decided and leaning voters. Renters favour Chow 57% to 40%, while homeowners favour Bradford 50% to 45%.
Bradford's coverage share reaches roughly 45% after Alexander's withdrawal, while Parrish and Crombie are nearly tied in Mississauga.
Liberals lead by 16 points. Poilievre is at 32% favourable and 55% unfavourable, while Lewis improves to 35% favourable without lifting the NDP above 15%.
In a campaign debating experience versus change, Hazel McCallion's legacy matters far more to older residents. Most say a candidate claiming to have learned from her makes no difference.
Conservatives lead 43% to 37% among decided and leaning voters. Eby approval falls to 34%, while Doerkson gains familiarity but not net favourability.
Toronto has added 194,442 electors since the 2023 mayoral by-election. Where the list has grown, what has barely changed, and why it matters for campaigns.
Sixty-five per cent support a subway extension, but residents split 45% to 44% on subway versus all-day, two-way Milton GO service. Confidence combines very and somewhat confident.
Following the October 1 debate, 74% reject personal insults and just 14% describe the campaign as mostly respectful. The rejection crosses candidate lines.