Quebec: PQ Leads at 28%; Liberals 23%, Conservatives 20%, CAQ 18%
PQ leads a fragmented provincial race at 28%. Cost of living and health care top the issue list; 56% say Quebec is moving in the wrong direction.
October 4, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - A new Liaison Strategies Quebec survey finds the Parti Québécois leading with 28% among decided and leaning voters, followed by the Quebec Liberal Party at 23%, the Conservative Party of Quebec at 20%, the Coalition Avenir Québec at 18%, and Québec solidaire at 10%. Other parties receive 1%.
Liaison surveyed 1,000 Quebec voters on October 2 and 3, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology and random digit dialling across landline and cellular phone networks. Results were weighted by age, gender, and language. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, and is higher for subsamples. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Liaison Strategies ranked #1 in accuracy in the 2025 Ontario election and #2 nationally in the 2025 federal election. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council.
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said:
“As the campaign draws to a close, this survey offers a final snapshot of Quebec voters before the ballots are counted.”
"The PQ has the highest vote share. No party reaches 30%, and four parties have at least 18%. Ten per cent are undecided on the initial ballot question."
"Fifty-six per cent say Quebec is moving in the wrong direction, compared with 36% who say the right direction. Cost of living leads the issue list at 27%, followed by health care at 24% and housing at 12%. Sovereignty and a referendum is the top issue for 7%, and for 15% of PQ supporters."
"How the numbers will impact each individual riding remains to be seen. While a PQ majority is possible, we are of the opinion it is unlikely."
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About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 13 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada's voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.