PCs 42%, Liberals 32%, Again

February 25, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new poll conducted by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) shows Doug Ford's PCs leading the Ontario Liberals by 10 points - the same lead the PCs held yesterday.

The survey, conducted February 24th, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, polled 804 Ontario voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20. Liaison Strategies is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC).

“The topline numbers are mostly the same as yesterday,” said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies. "But today features the Ontario NDP at 19% (instead of 18%) and the Greens down a point to 4%."

“The Liberals continue to lead in Toronto but that lead has narrowed slightly to an 8 point lead. Meanwhile, the PCs have pulled ahead in the North (caution: small sample size) where the 3 parties are effectively tied."

“There could still be some late movement, but among all voters the undecided rate is down to 8% - though that doesn't mean people can't change their mind. All that being said the likeliest outcome today is a PC majority with the Ontario Liberals forming the official opposition.” concluded Valentin.

Ontario Numbers (Change from last survey)
Ontario PC 42% (No Change)
Ontario Liberal 32% (No Change)
Ontario NDP 19% (+1)
Ontario Greens 4% (-1)
Other 3% (-1)

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