Ontario PCs Lead Liberals by 10, Ontarians believe Province is Doing Best on Housing

March 11, 2024 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds Doug Ford leading Bonnie Crombie's Ontario Liberals by 10 points. Ontarians also give the most credit to the provincial government, as the level of government doing the most to support new housing.

Conducted from March 8-9, 2024, using interactive voice response technology, the poll surveyed 1,283 Ontario voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.74%, 19 times out of 20. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Insights Research Council (CRIC).

"The Ford PCs are up compared to our February survey but not by much, " said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies.

"This month the PCs are at 39% (+1) followed by the Liberals at 29% (-1) and the NDP at 21% (-1). The Greens are at 5% (no change) and the 'Other' parties are polling at 6% (+1)."

"It's a strong 10 point lead province wide but regionally there are some very competitive battlegrounds. In Northern Ontario the Liberals lead by 1% over the PCs (34% to 33%) and in Southcentral Ontario, Hamilton and Niagara, the PCs are leading the NDP - but only by 5%, within the regional margin of error. Toronto and the 905 are once again close with the Liberals and PCs tied in Toronto and the PCs leading the Liberals by 3 points in the 905."

"All of that is to say the provincial tories are doing well but they're not quite running away with it and there are areas of opportunity for the opposition parties."

"This month we asked about housing - which level of government is doing the most to build it? 40% told us it was the provincial government, with the federal government and municipal governments in a tie for second at 24% apiece. As for which government is doing the least - 37% say that municipal governments."

"Overall, 41% of Ontarians say the same amount of housing is being built now as it was 5 years ago. 57% say the right amount of housing is being built in their community but 55% say not enough housing is being built province wide."

"Lastly, we asked Ontarians if governments should count new long term care beds as new homes. The answer was no with 63% saying they shouldn't and 23% saying they should."

"On the surface, Ontarians want to see more housing but would prefer it be built outside their own communities. NIMBYism isn't new, but it's interesting to see that Ford's messaging on building homes is resonating as most are concluding it's the provincial government that's doing the most on housing," concluded Valentin.

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