National Tracker: Liberals rise to 44%, Conservatives at 37%
March 27, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals at 44% support with the Conservatives at 37% - a 7 point race.
The rolling survey, conducted from March 24 to March 26, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election.
“The Liberals had a standout day in the tracking yesterday—saying it was ‘good’ would be an understatement,” said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies. “Their support has climbed to 44%, giving them a 7-point lead over the Conservatives—the largest margin we've seen so far and their highest level of support to date.”
"Regionally, the Liberals are leading where it counts: Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario, and British Columbia, where they now hold a 10-point advantage over the Conservatives."
"But while the Liberals are hitting new highs, the NDP has hit a new low, dropping to just 6%."
"Yesterday's news cycle was all about Trump's auto tariffs. As long as the focus stays on Trump, opposition parties are going to have a tough time cutting through the noise and getting voters to focus on their own issues.
"There’s still a long road ahead—plenty of time for events to shake things up. Nothing is set in stone, but as the first week of the election campaign heads into the weekend, it’s clear things are going well for the Liberals," concluded Valentin.
-30-
For more information:
About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm with over a decade of experience in Canadian polling. Led by Principal David Valentin, who has conducted hundreds of municipal, provincial, and federal projects, Liaison has built a strong reputation for delivering accurate insights. Valentin is a frequent media commentator on public opinion trends.
As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), the leading voice of the research, analytics, and insights industry in Canada and beyond, Liaison upholds the highest standards in polling. The firm has a proven track record of accuracy, with strong results in British Columbia, Nova Scotia, and most recently, as the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario provincial election.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization dedicated to advancing the economic, social, and cultural interests of ethnic communities within Canadian society. As the leading industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online media, NEPMCC serves as the voice of ethnic press, representing their interests at both the provincial and federal levels.