National Tracker: Federal Liberals Maintain 4 Point Lead at 39%
March 15, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, shows Mark Carney's Liberals holding a four-point lead at 39%.
The rolling survey, conducted from March 12 to March 14, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election.
"Our daily tracking indicates both the Liberals and Conservatives have gained one point, with the Liberals maintaining their four-point national lead," said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies.
"These figures continue to suggest a Liberal majority government, as the party's vote efficiency and strong leads in Quebec and Ontario would translate into significant seat gains."
"With ongoing media coverage of Mr. Carney in recent days, we’ll be monitoring whether the extended attention on the cabinet swearing-in and the repeal of the consumer carbon tax leads to a boost in support. It’s still early, and there’s more to unfold," concluded Valentin.
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About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 12 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally. Liaison has demonstrated accurate results in British Columbia, Nova Scotia, and most recently, was the most accurate polling firm of the 2025 Ontario provincial election.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization whose mission is to promote and integrate economic, social and cultural interests of Ethnic communities into the mainstream of Canadian society. NEPMCC represents Canada’s Ethnic Press to the provincial and federal governments and is the major industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio and online outlets.