Vancouver Kingsway: NDP Lead by 9
December 3 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the NDP firming up support in Vancouver Kingsway. Today’s release is the second in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following yesterday's poll of Eglinton-Lawrence.
Conducted from November 24 to 30, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the survey polled 576 voters in Vancouver Kingsway. The margin of error is ±4.01 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies is one of the most accurate polling firms in Canada. It ranked #1 in accuracy in the 2025 Ontario election and #2 nationally in the 2025 federal election. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC).
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies said:
It’s never easy to draw a straight line from national or provincial numbers to what’s actually happening in individual ridings. So this week, we’ve zeroed in on four specific seats (you can probably guess at least one of them) to get a clearer read on how this minority parliament is playing out on the ground.
Our second stop is Vancouver Kingsway, where, as the chart below shows, the last election was a nail-biter. This time, the numbers tilt a bit more toward the NDP, who edge up three points to 40% (within the margin of error), while the Liberals slip 5.5 points to 31% (a drop that falls outside the margin of error).
The Conservatives are holding steady in Kingsway but this survey is good news for the NDP, though Don Davies is still not at the 52% mark he received in 2021.
By contrast, the Prime Minister’s numbers here are only slightly positive. In Eglinton–Lawrence he was at +14; in Vancouver Kingsway he’s just +4.
If the NDP are slowly clawing back support in their traditional ridings, that’s bad news for the Liberals. That said, this survey looks more like Liberal slippage than a real NDP surge (which is also bad news for the Liberals!). Even so, the end result is the same: what was essentially a dead heat last time (a 0.5-point race) is now a nine-point NDP lead - good news for them, however you look at it.
Part of this survey was conducted after the memorandum of understanding on the pipeline was signed, so British Columbia is a province we’ll need to keep a close watch on.
Stay tuned for a new riding poll tomorrow.
Detailed Poll Report:
About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 12 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization whose mission is to promote and integrate economic, social and cultural interests of Ethnic communities into the mainstream of Canadian society. NEPMCC represents Canada’s Ethnic Press to the provincial and federal governments and is the major industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio and online outlets.