Ontario: PCs Lead by 14 but Ontarians Support Speed Cameras
October 20 (Toronto, ON) – As the Ontario Legislature returns a new Liaison Strategies survey of 800 Ontarians shows the PCs with a commanding lead if an election were held today. This poll first appeared in Focus Ontario.
Meanwhile most Ontarians disapprove of Premier Doug Ford’s decision to ban municipal speed cameras and nearly two-thirds say they would support cameras if they were restricted to school zones.
Conducted from October 14-15, 2025, using interactive voice response (IVR), the survey polled 800 Ontarians. The margin of error is ±3.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies is one of the most accurate polling firms in Canada. It ranked #1 in accuracy in the 2025 Ontario election and #2 nationally in the 2025 federal election. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC).
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said:
If a provincial election were held today, Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives would remain in first place, ahead of the Ontario Liberals and Ontario NDP with a 14 point lead over the Liberals. The PCs continue to draw strong support among men and voters outside the GTA, while the Liberals perform best among women and urban residents.
The regional numbers are strong for the PCs who are posting leads in the GTA (+9) but also in Toronto (+6). The numbers would point to a dominant PC majority as the PCs lead in all regions.
Among decided and leaning voters the PCs have 47%, the Liberals have 33% while the NDP has 15% and the Greens 3%. 2% of Ontarians would vote for an 'other' party.
This month we focused on the emerging debate over speed cameras by asking a number of questions.
A plurality (49%) of Ontarians disapprove of the ban, with only 34% approving. Opposition is strongest among women (54%), Liberal (76%) and NDP voters (77%). Support comes largely from PC supporters (58%), men (42%), and voters aged 35–49 (41%).
Ford’s base backs him, but the rest of Ontario does not. If the intent was to make the base happy - mission accomplished. The problem here is the numbers will make it tough for the Premier to climb down without disappointing his own supporters.
Framed a different way, a majority (54%) side with mayors and police who say cameras improve safety, compared to 36% who agree with Ford that they’re a cash grab. The divide mirrors party lines: 58% of PC voters call cameras a cash grab, while three-quarters of NDP and Liberal voters view them as safety tools.
Lastly, we asked if there would be support for speed cameras if they were limited to school zones. Even among PC voters, 41% support speed cameras in school zones, while backing soars to 86% among NDP and 83% among Liberal supporters. Support remains strong across every region and age group.
Ontarians may be skeptical about revenue tools, but they’re united on safety, especially when it comes to children. There’s a clear middle ground here: limit speed cameras to school zones and most voters are satisfied. It will be up to the Premier to decide if he wants to take that off-ramp.
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About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 12 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.