National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 37% (Again)
April 22, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (no change) to the Conservatives 37% (no change).
The rolling survey, conducted from April 19 to April 21, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election.
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said the following:
It's deja vu, as we have the same topline numbers today as yesterday. The race, as a whole, has been remarkably stable though there are some small changes in the regional numbers.
n Quebec, the Bloc Québécois has dropped three points to 24% and is now in third place, just behind the Conservatives at 25%. The Liberals continue to lead the province with 40%.
In Ontario, the Liberals have gained a point - minor movement, but not the direction the Conservative campaign would be hoping for.
Meanwhile, in British Columbia, the Liberals hold a 3-point lead, while the NDP has inched up to 15% in the province.
With Election Day fast approaching, it’s becoming increasingly clear that the outcome will be a Liberal government. Whether that means a minority or a majority, however, is still too early to call.
Today, the Conservatives are set to release their platform, while Mr. Carney continues campaigning in Quebec. A leader’s schedule often signals where campaigns see opportunities - or vulnerabilities - so it’ll be interesting to watch where they head in the coming days.
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About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm with over a decade of experience in Canadian polling. Led by Principal David Valentin, who has conducted hundreds of municipal, provincial, and federal projects, Liaison has built a strong reputation for delivering accurate insights. Valentin is a frequent media commentator on public opinion trends.
As a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), the leading voice of the research, analytics, and insights industry in Canada and beyond, Liaison upholds the highest standards in polling. The firm has a proven track record of accuracy, with strong results in British Columbia, Nova Scotia, and most recently, as the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario provincial election.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization dedicated to advancing the economic, social, and cultural interests of ethnic communities within Canadian society. As the leading industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online media, NEPMCC serves as the voice of ethnic press, representing their interests at both the provincial and federal levels.