BC NDP Leads BC Tories by 2, while United falls to 9%
July 8, 2024 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the BC NDP leading by 2 points over the BC Conservatives, 40% to 38% while BC United falls to 9%.
Conducted from June 26-27, 2024, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 1,097 British Columbia voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.96%, 19 times out of 20. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC).
"The race continues to narrow with a 2 point lead for the BC NDP over the BC Conservatives," said David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies. "Perhaps more worryingly for the NDP are that the regional numbers have tightened considerably. In Metro Vancouver the NDP lead 42% to 39% for the Conservatives - so they are effectively tied within the regional margin of error."
"On Vancouver Island the NDP are leading with 43% followed by the Greens (24%) and Conservatives (23%) effectively tied for second."
"Outside of Metro Vancouver and Vancouver Island, it's the Conservatives who are leading by 15 points over the NDP (48-33)."
"BC United is down three points to just 9% in this survey and fare best in Metro Vancouver where they notch 10%. Increasingly, in most of the province it looks like a two horse race."
"With the race this close it's difficult to know with vote splits how this would all work out - but there's plenty of time to go until election day."
"For now the question is who can build momentum and break the deadlock as the parties look increasingly even in what is a very competitive election," finished Valentin.
Compared to May, 2024
BC NDP - 40% (+1)
BC Conservatives - 38% (+2)
BC Greens - 10% (no change)
BC United - 12% (-3)
Other - 3% (no change)
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About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 12 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization whose mission is to promote and integrate economic, social and cultural interests of Ethnic communities into the mainstream of Canadian society. NEPMCC represents Canada’s Ethnic Press to the provincial and federal governments and is the major industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio and online outlets.
Read the report: