BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%
May 7, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the BC Conservatives leading the BC NDP by 2 points.
Conducted from May 2-4, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 800 British Columbia voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20.
Liaison Strategies, a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), was the most accurate polling firm in the 2025 Ontario Provincial Election. In the most recent federal election, Liaison ranked as the second most accurate polling firm nationally, and was the top performer when factoring in regional results.
David Valentin, Principal at Liaison Strategies, said the following:
There is no election today, but if one were held, the Conservatives would have a slim lead over the NDP province-wide.
However, the NDP is ahead in both Metro Vancouver (49% to 46%) and Vancouver Island (44% to 34%), meaning a Conservative lead in the popular vote wouldn't guarantee a win. Based on these numbers, we would expect a narrow victory for the BC NDP. That said, with the close race in Metro Vancouver and the poll's margin of error, a Conservative win remains a possibility.
The BC Greens meanwhile are polling at 7% province-wide though they are at 19% on Vancouver Island.
When we asked British Columbians for their views on the provincial leaders, both Premier Eby (+11) and Sonia Furstenau (+13) had positive net favourability ratings, though the Premier is far better known than Ms. Furstenau. Meanwhile, Mr. Rustad has a negative net favourability of -9.
Mr. Rustad has some work to do, as his favourability rating lags behind support for his party. In contrast, Mr. Eby enjoys the opposite dynamic—50% of British Columbians view him favourably, while his party's support stands at just 42% among all voters (including undecided). There are definitely some echoes of the recent federal election taking place provincially.
-30-
About Liaison Strategies
Liaison Strategies is a national public opinion research firm. With 12 years of experience in Canadian polling, David Valentin, principal, has fielded hundreds of projects at the municipal, provincial and federal levels and appeared across Canadian media to discuss insights. Liaison is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), Canada’s voice of the research, analytics, and insights profession both domestically and globally.
About the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada
The National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) is a non-profit organization whose mission is to promote and integrate economic, social and cultural interests of Ethnic communities into the mainstream of Canadian society. NEPMCC represents Canada’s Ethnic Press to the provincial and federal governments and is the major industry association for Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio and online outlets.
Read the report: